World GDP and Trade

World trade is shrinking and it has been an indicator of growth of world GDP. the amount of cargo passing through the Suez Canal in Egypt. Approximately 8% of the world's international trade is estimated to flow through the canal, so it acts as a good early indicator of the prevailing economic conditions.

Double Dip , Another recession ?

Morgan Stanley's Cyclical index predicts another downturn is on the cards. the intensity of downturn may be difficult to fathom, but the indicator has been prophetic in suggesting business cycles. As the indicator (The blue line oscillator) already pointing southward, Not so encouraging news from europe and japan, emerging markets fighting the inflation monster, the next couple of months will be crucial to define the long term story.

World Economic Outlook-IMF

The two-speed recovery continues. In advanced economies, activity has moderated less than expected, but growth remains subdued, unemployment is still high, and renewed stresses in the euro area periphery are contributing to downside risks. In many emerging economies, activity remains buoyant, inflation pressures are emerging, and there are now some signs of overheating, driven in part by strong capital inflows. Most developing countries, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, are also growing strongly